Category Archives: Uncategorized
The Amish Health Care System
I. Amish people spend only a fifth as much as you do on health care, and their health is fine. What can we learn from them? A reminder: the Amish are a German religious sect who immigrated to colonial America. … Continue reading
Open Thread 152
This is the bi-weekly visible open thread (there are also hidden open threads twice a week you can reach through the Open Thread tab on the top of the page). Post about anything you want, but please try to avoid … Continue reading
Depression: The Olfactory Perspective
Depressed people have worse sense of smell, and people with worse sense of smell are more likely to get depressed. Kohli 2016 tries to figure out what’s going on. They review six studies testing how well depressed people can smell … Continue reading
Open Thread 151.75
This is the twice-weekly hidden open thread. You can also talk at the SSC subreddit or the SSC Discord server.
A Failure, But Not Of Prediction
I. Vox asks What Went Wrong With The Media’s Coronavirus Coverage? They conclude that the media needs to be better at “not just saying what we do know, but what we don’t know”. This raises some important questions. Like: how … Continue reading
Open Thread 151.5
This is the twice-weekly hidden open thread. You can also talk at the SSC subreddit or the SSC Discord server.
Coronalinks 4/10: Second Derivative
The second derivative is the rate of growth of the rate of growth. Over the past few weeks, the second derivative of total coronavirus cases switched from positive (typical of exponential growth) to zero or negative (typical of linear or … Continue reading
2019 Predictions: Calibration Results
At the beginning of every year, I make predictions. At the end of every year, I score them (this year I’m very late). Here are 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2018. And here are the predictions I made for 2019. … Continue reading
Open Thread 151.25
This is the twice-weekly hidden open thread. You can also talk at the SSC subreddit or the SSC Discord server.
Never Tell Me The Odds (Ratio)
[Epistemic status: low confidence, someone tell me if the math is off. Title was stolen from an old Less Wrong post that seems to have disappeared – let me know if it’s yours and I’ll give you credit] I almost … Continue reading