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Monthly Archives: September 2016

SSC Endorses Clinton, Johnson, Or Stein

I. If you are American, SSC endorses voting in this presidential election. Andrew Gelman, Nate Silver, and Aaron Edlin calculate the chance that a single vote will determine the election (ie break a tie in a state that breaks an … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged | 2,317 Comments

Open Thread 59.25

This is the twice-weekly hidden open thread. Post about anything you want, ask random questions, whatever.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged | 382 Comments

OT59: Comment Sutra

This is the bi-weekly visible open thread. There are hidden threads every few days here. Post about anything you want, ask random questions, whatever. Also: 1. Comment of the week is JT on presidential life expectancy. 2. Some SSC readers … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged | 1,618 Comments

AI Persuasion Experiment

I’ve been trying to write a persuasive essay about AI risk, but there are already a lot of those out there and I realize I should see if any of them are better before pushing mine. This also ties into … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged | 440 Comments

Open Thread 58.75

This is the twice-weekly hidden open thread. Post about anything you want, ask random questions, whatever.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged | 892 Comments

Open Thread 58.5

This is the twice-weekly hidden open thread. Post about anything you want, ask random questions, whatever.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged | 1,070 Comments

Links 9/16: URL Of The Chaldees

500 BC: Buddha preaches a message of peace and compassion. 1411 AD: China and Sri Lanka go to war over the Buddha’s tooth. More on confusing effects of school entry age: in Brazil, students who enter first grade later get … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged | 854 Comments

Open Thread 58.25

This is the twice-weekly hidden open thread. Post about anything you want, ask random questions, whatever.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged | 512 Comments

Some Context For That NYT Sugar Article

Imagine a political historian discovers that Lyndon Johnson accepted a campaign contribution from a big Wall Street bank. Since Johnson’s policies helped shape the modern Democratic Party, everyone agrees the Democrats are built on a foundation of lies. “Republicans Vindicated; … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , | 137 Comments

It’s Bayes All The Way Up

[Epistemic status: Very speculative. I am not a neuroscientist and apologize for any misinterpretation of the papers involved. Thanks to the people who posted these papers in r/slatestarcodex. See also Mysticism and Pattern-Matching and Bayes For Schizophrenics] Bayes’ Theorem is … Continue reading