THE JOYFUL REDUCTION OF UNCERTAINTY

Tag Archives: ai

Technological Unemployment: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

[I am not an economist or an expert on this topic. This is my attempt to figure out what economists and experts think so I can understand the issue, and I’m writing it down to speed your going through the … Continue reading

Maybe The Real Superintelligent AI Is Extremely Smart Computers

I. By Ted Chiang, on Buzzfeed: The Real Danger To Civilization Isn’t AI: It’s Runaway Capitalism. Chiang’s science fiction is great and I highly recommend it. This article, not so much. The gist seems to be: hypothetical superintelligent AIs sound … Continue reading

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Where The Falling Einstein Meets The Rising Mouse

Eliezer Yudkowsky argues that forecasters err in expecting artificial intelligence progress to look like this: …when in fact it will probably look like this: That is, we naturally think there’s a pretty big intellectual difference between mice and chimps, and … Continue reading

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Two Kinds Of Caution

Financial Times: What We Get Wrong About Technology. It cites boring advances like barbed wire and shipping containers to argue that some of the most transformative inventions are not the product of complicated high technology but just some clever hacks … Continue reading

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SSC Journal Club: AI Timelines

I. A few years ago, Muller and Bostrom et al surveyed AI researchers to assess their opinion on AI progress and superintelligence. Since then, deep learning took off, AlphaGo beat human Go champions, and the field has generally progressed. I’ve … Continue reading

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G.K. Chesterton On AI Risk

[An SSC reader working at an Oxford library stumbled across a previously undiscovered manuscript of G.K. Chesterton’s, expressing his thoughts on AI, x-risk, and superintelligence. She was kind enough to send me a copy, which I have faithfully transcribed] The … Continue reading

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Notes From The Asilomar Conference On Beneficial AI

Last month I got to attend the Asilomar Conference on Beneficial AI. I tried to fight it off, saying I was totally unqualified to go to any AI-related conference. But the organizers assured me that it was an effort to … Continue reading

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How Does Recent AI Progress Affect The Bostromian Paradigm?

[content note: I seriously know nothing about this and it’s all random uninformed speculation] I. AI risk discussions are dominated by the Bostromian paradigm of AIs as highly strategic agents that try to maximize certain programmed goals. This paradigm got … Continue reading

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AI Persuasion Experiment Results

I. Last month I asked three thousand people to read some articles on AI risk and tell me how convinced they were. Last week, I asked them to come back and tell me some more stuff, to see if they … Continue reading

AI Persuasion Followup Survey

If you took the AI persuasion experiment survey last month, I have a very brief followup survey that I’d like you to take. You can find it here. Don’t worry, you don’t have to read anything this time. If you … Continue reading

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