Monthly Archives: January 2016

Guns and States 2: Son of a Gun

Thanks for your many excellent comments on Guns and States. I’ve made it through most of the comments thread and learned a lot. Here are some (hopefully) final thoughts on the matter: 1. In yesterday’s post, I suggested that the … Continue reading

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Guns And States

[Epistemic status: I think I probably wrung the right conclusions out of this evidence, but this isn’t the only line of evidence bearing on the broader gun control issue and all I can say is what it’s consistent with. Content … Continue reading

OT39: Appian Thread

This is the bi?-weekly open thread. Post about anything you want, ask random questions, whatever. Also: 1. Comment of the week is this discussion on the calendar and the solstices, although everyone eventually agreed it was on the wrong track. … Continue reading

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2015 Predictions: Calibration Results

Many people are making predictions for the new year around now. I see fewer people going back and grading the accuracy of their predictions about last year, even though that obviously has a lot of relevance for how seriously we … Continue reading

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